Ladawan:Common Era Temperature.svg

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Sumaryo

Pagladawan
English: Temperatures with respect to the 1850-1900 mean as per IPCC definition of pre-industrial temperatures over the last 2 millennia and observational values ranging from 1880 to 2020. All data is smoothed using a 5 year moving average.

The 2000 year record is computed in https://www.nature.com/articles/s41561-019-0400-0 using a wide set of proxies that have been vetted by the Pages2k Consortium [1]. They include tree ring data, data from corals and ice core data. A direct link to data is at https://figshare.com/articles/Reconstruction_ensemble_median_and_95_range/8143094

The observational data set is pulled from NASA: https://climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/global-temperature/

NASA data is adjusted up by 0.188 degrees C since the IPCC says 2006 to 2015 is 0.87 degrees warmer than 1850 to 1900 and NASA averages 0.682 in that time frame.

The 2000 year temperature is adjusted up by 0.287667, which is the NASA adjustment from above plus 0.099667 for the NASA average from 1961 to 1990 (the baseline for the 2000 year data set).
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Work is derived from [Temperature reconstruction last two millennia.svg] by Femke Nijsse

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I, the copyright holder of this work, hereby publish it under the following license:
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  1. ↑ Pages2k Consortium (2017). "A global multiproxy database for temperature reconstructions of the Common Era". Scientific Data 4: 170088. DOI:10.1038/sdata.2017.88. ISSN 2052-4463.

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Global temperature reconstruction of the last two millennia with instrumental temperature from 1880 to 2020

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23 Pebrero 2020

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presente03:31, 20 Marso 2024Thumbnail para sa bersyon kaitong 03:31, 20 Marso 2024960 × 720 (118 KB)이강철 (WMKR)File uploaded using svgtranslate tool (https://svgtranslate.toolforge.org/). Added translation for ko.
09:41, 21 Agosto 2022Thumbnail para sa bersyon kaitong 09:41, 21 Agosto 2022960 × 720 (116 KB)TAKAHASHI ShuujiFile uploaded using svgtranslate tool (https://svgtranslate.toolforge.org/). Added translation for ja.
13:01, 17 Enero 2021Thumbnail para sa bersyon kaitong 13:01, 17 Enero 2021960 × 720 (114 KB)EfbrazilUpdated with 2020 data
21:36, 21 Agosto 2020Thumbnail para sa bersyon kaitong 21:36, 21 Agosto 2020960 × 720 (114 KB)EfbrazilFixed background to fill image
19:27, 31 Hulyo 2020Thumbnail para sa bersyon kaitong 19:27, 31 Hulyo 2020960 × 720 (114 KB)EfbrazilAdded fahrenheit to far side of graph for easier consumption by US audiences
15:54, 13 Mayo 2020Thumbnail para sa bersyon kaitong 15:54, 13 Mayo 2020960 × 701 (111 KB)NyqDecapitalized common noun
17:56, 2 Abril 2020Thumbnail para sa bersyon kaitong 17:56, 2 Abril 2020960 × 701 (111 KB)EfbrazilAll data is now a 5 year moving average (indirect measurement was a 30 year average)
00:11, 2 Abril 2020Thumbnail para sa bersyon kaitong 00:11, 2 Abril 2020960 × 701 (110 KB)Efbrazilfixing year 0 offset bug
23:40, 30 Marso 2020Thumbnail para sa bersyon kaitong 23:40, 30 Marso 2020960 × 701 (110 KB)EfbrazilRebuilt from the bottom up to eliminate the confidence intervals. Also re-baselined as per the description in the text- that the 2000 year temperatures are relative to the 1961 to 1990 average, which means adjusting them up by 0.288 C so they match the IPCC definition of the 1850 to 1900 average (the common baseline used on all climate change temp graphs). Previous baseline was about 0.1 degrees different because I used the 1860 to 1890 average from the data itself.
19:55, 25 Pebrero 2020Thumbnail para sa bersyon kaitong 19:55, 25 Pebrero 2020960 × 701 (304 KB)EfbrazilSubtle tweaks
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